Partisan intergovernmental transfers: empirical evidence, political and economic effects, and the electoral rationale

Autores

Palavras-chave:

partisan transfers, fiscal federalism, electoral competition

Resumo

This article discusses the stylized fact of politically motivated intergovernmental transfers, according to which a higher level of public administration (federal or state government) transfers greater resources to lower levels (states or municipalities) when the same party holds the Executive in both levels. First, it shows that it is a pervasive phenomenon in the world in general and in Brazil in particular. Then, it discusses its effects on subnational electoral equilibria and on the performance of the public administration. Finally, it builds a political economy model that explains the electoral rationale behind this stylized fact.

Downloads

Não há dados estatísticos.

Biografia do Autor

Maurício Soares Bugarin, Universidade de Brasília

Professor titular do Departamento de Economia da Universidade de Brasília. Líder do Economics and Politics Research Group (EPRG).

Ivan Ferreira, Universidade Ceuma

Doutor em Economia, Universidade de Brasília (UnB). Professor, Universidade Ceuma. CEO. Ceuma Grupo Educacional.

Referências

Almeida, Marcos H. de C. (2019). O poder do voto como fator determinante na distribuição de recursos estaduais para os municípios cearenses. Master’s Thesis, Universidade Federal do Ceará.

Ansolabehere, Stephen, and James M. Snyder Jr. (2006). Party control of state government and the distribution of public expenditures. Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 108.4: 547-569.

Ames, Barry. (2003). Os entraves da democracia no Brasil. Rio de Janeiro: Editora FGV.

Besley, Timothy, and Stephen Coate. (1997). An economic model of representative democracy. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 112.1: 85-114.

Bragon, Ranier. (2004.08.05). Cidades dos aliados de Lula recebem mais verba federal. Folha de São Paulo.

Bragon, Ranier, e Joahanna Nublat (2007.11.19). Governo federal privilegia prefeituras da base aliada. Folha de São Paulo.

Brandt, Ricardo. (2004.09.09). Cidade geridas pelo PSDB obtêm mais verba do Estado. Folha de São Paulo.

Brazil, National Treasury Secretariat (2015). Nota Técnica n. 14/2015/COINT/SURIN/ STN/MF-DF.

Brollo, Fernanda, and Tommaso Nannicini (2012). “Tying Your Enemy’s Hands in Close Races: The Politics of Federal Transfers in Brazil.” American Political Science Review 106(04):742–761.

Bugarin, Mauricio, Mirta Bugarin, and Henrique Pires. (2010). Deficit targeting: An incentive mechanism for subnational fiscal deficit reduction in Brazil. In H. Esfahani, G. Facchini, G. Hewings, editors, Economic development in Latin America: Essay in honor of Werner Baer. London, Palgrave Macmillan UK.

Bugarin, Mauricio, and Sérgio R. B. Gadelha. (2020). Descentralização administrativa e de receitas In: Reforma do Estado Brasileiro: Transformando a Atuação do Governo.1 ed. São Paulo: GEN-Atlas, 2020, p. 147-163.

Bugarin, Mauricio, and Fernanda Marciniuk (2017). Strategic partisan transfers in a fiscal federation: Evidence from a new Brazilian database. Journal of Applied Economics, 20.2: 211-239.

Bugarin, Mauricio, and Ricardo Ubrig (2013). Partisan voluntary transfers in a fiscal federation: new evidence from Brazil. LACEA-LAMES Annual Meetings, Mexico City.

Diniz, Paulo R. (2009). Demarcando fronteiras: Distritos eleitorais informais na Zona da Mata de Minas Gerais. Teoria e Cultura, 4.1-2: 63-76.

Ferejohn, John A., and Randall L. Calvert. (1984). Presidential coattails in historical perspective. American Journal of Political Science, 28.1: 127-146.

Ferreira, Ivan, and Mauricio Bugarin (2005). Transferências voluntárias no federalismo fiscal brasileiro: Efeito do ciclo fiscal de meio de mandato sobre as eleições municipais. In: ESAF (org.), Finanças públicas: IX Prêmio Tesouro Nacional IX. Brasília, ESAF.

Ferreira, Ivan, and Mauricio Bugarin (2007). Transferências voluntárias e ciclo político-orçamentário no federalismo fiscal brasileiro. Revista Brasileira de Economia, 61: 271-300.

Ferreira, Pedro F. Nery. (2013). A incorporação das expectativas racionais na macroeconomia. Economia e Desenvolvimento, 12.2: 62-86.

Garofalo, Pablo J. (2019). Strategic spending in federal governments: theory and evidence from the US. Journal of Applied Economics, 22(1), 243-272.

Garofalo, Pablo, Daniel Lema, and Jorge M. Streb. (2020). Political budget cycles and voting within a federal country: The influence of political alignment. Economics & Politics 32.2: 305-334.

Glaurdić, Josip, and Vuk Vuković. (2017). Granting votes: exposing the political bias of intergovernmental grants using the within-between specification for panel data. Public Choice, 171.1-2: 223-241.

Gonschorek, Gerrit J., Günther G. Schulze, and Bambang S. Sjahrir. (2018). To the ones in need or the ones you need? The political economy of central discretionary grants — empirical evidence from Indonesia. European Journal of Political Economy, 54: 240-260.

Grossman, Philip J. (1994). A political theory of intergovernmental grants. Public Choice, 78.3-4: 295-303.

Jarocińska, Elena. (2010). Intergovernmental grants in Russia. Economics of Transition 18.2: 405-427.

Khemani, Stuti. (2007). Does delegation of fiscal policy to an independent agency make a difference? Evidence from intergovernmental transfers in India. Journal of Development Economics, 82: 464-484.

Kraemer, Moritz (1997). Intergovernmental transfers and political representation: Empirical evidence from Argentina, Brazil and Mexico. Working paper 345. Washington, Inter-American Development Bank.

Levitt, Steven D., and James M. Snyder Jr. (1995). Political parties and the distribution of federal outlays. American Journal of Political Science, 39.4: 958-980.

Lucas Jr., Robert E. (1972). Expectations and the neutrality of money. Journal of Economic Theory, 4.2: 103-124.

Lucas Jr., Robert E. (1976). Econometric policy evaluation: A critique. In: Carnegie-Rochester conference series on public policy. North-Holland, p. 19-46.

Marciniuk, Fernanda, Mauricio Bugarin, and Debora Ferreira. (2020). Motivação Partidária nas Transferências Voluntárias da União: O papel do Legislativo Federal. Estudos Econômicos, 50.2:261-291.

Musgrave, Richard (1959). The theory of public finance: A study in public economics. New York, McGraw Hill.

Monteiro, Jorge Vianna. (1981). Economia do Crescimento do Setor Público. Revista Brasileira de Administração Pública, 15.2: 76-89.

Monteiro, Jorge Vianna. (1980) Sobre Economia Institucional e Economia do Setor Público. Revista Brasileira de Administração Pública, 14.1: 103-111.

Monteiro, Jorge Vianna, and Luiz Roberto A. Cunha (1974). Alguns Aspectos da Evolução do Planejamento Econômico no Brasil, 1934-1963. Pesquisa e Planejamento Econômico, 4.1: 1-24.

Monteiro, Jorge, Vianna, and Luiz Roberto A. Cunha (1973). A Organização do Planejamento Econômico. Pesquisa e Planejamento Econômico, 3.4: 1045-1964.

Monteiro, Jorge Vianna, Thomas H. Naylor, Moacyr Fioravante, and Martin Shubik (1971a). Um Modelo de Simulação da Economia do Brasil. Revista Brasileira de Economia, 25.1: 50-64.

Monteiro, Jorge Vianna (1971b). Estimação Econométrica do Setor Externo na Economia Brasileira. Pesquisa e Planejamento Econômico, 1: 373-380.

Monteiro, Jorge Vianna (1970). Um Precursor dos Modelos de Decisão: O Modelo de Feldman. Revista Brasileira de Economia, 24.1: 87-97.

Muth, John F. (1961). Rational expectations and the theory of price movements. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 29.3: 315-335.

Nordhaus, William D. (1975). The political business cycle. The Review of Economic Studies, 42.2: 169-190.

Osborne, Martin J., and Al Slivinski. (1996). A model of political competition with citizen-candidates. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 111.1: 65-96.

Paiva, Guilherme, and Maurício Bugarin (2018). Investigação Sobre o Comportamento Político e Eleitoral dos Desembolsos de Bancos Públicos para Prefeituras: BNDES, 1997 A 2014. Mimeo.

Persson, Torsten, and Guido Tabellini. (2000). Political Economics: Explaining Economic Policy. MIT Press.

Popov, Vladimir. (2004). Fiscal federalism in Russia: Rules versus electoral politics. Comparative Economic Studies 46.4: 515-541.

Portinari, Nathalia (2020.08.17). No governo Bolsonaro, prefeitos de partidos de oposição recebem menos verbas federais. O Globo.

Porto, Alberto, and Pablo Sanguinetti. (2001). Political determinants of intergovernmental grants: Evidence from Argentina. Economics & Politics, 13.3: 237-256.

Portugal, Adriana Cuoco, and Maurício Bugarin. (2007). Electoral campaign financing: The role of public contributions and party ideology. Economia, 8.1: 143-177.

Rogoff, Kenneth (1990). Equilibrium Political Budget Cycles. The American Economic Review, 80(1): 21-36.

Rogoff, Kenneth, and Anne Sibert. (1988). Elections and macroeconomic policy cycles. The Review of Economic Studies, 55.1: 1-16.

Rozevitch, Shimon, and Avi Weiss. (1993). Beneficiaries from federal transfers to municipalities: The case of Israel. Public Choice, 76.4: 335-346.

Sakurai, Sergio Naruhiko, and Maria Theodoro. (2014). Alinhamento político e transferências governamentais: novas evidências para os municípios brasileiros. Presented at Encontro Nacional de Economia ANPEC 2014.

Sakurai, Sergio Naruhiko, and Maria Theodoro. (2020). On the relationship between political alignment and government transfers: triple differences evidence from a developing country. Empirical Economics, 58.3: 1107-1141.

Schneider, Rodrigo, Diloá Athias, and Mauricio Bugarin. (2019). Does enfranchisement affect fiscal policy? Theory and empirical evidence in Brazil. Economics of Governance, 20.4: 389-412.

Solé-Ollé, Albert, and Pilar Sorribas-Navarro. (2008). The effects of partisan alignment on the allocation of intergovernmental transfers. Differences-in-differences estimates for Spain. Journal of Public Economics, 92: 2302-2319.

Tamura, Kenichi. (2010). "Testing the partisan bias in the Japanese fiscal equalization system." GLOPE II International Symposium on the Political Economy of Institutions and Expectations, Waseda University, Tokyo.

Veiga, Linda, and Maria Pinho (2007). The political economy of intergovernmental grants: Evidence from a maturing democracy. Public Choice, 133: 457-477.

Worthington, Andrew, and Brian E. Dollery (1998). The political determination of intergovernmental grants in Australia. Public Choice, 94.3: 299-315.

Wright, Gavin (1974). The political economy of New Deal spending, an econometric analysis. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 56: 30-38.

Downloads

Publicado

2021-09-21

Como Citar

Bugarin, M. S., & Ferreira, I. (2021). Partisan intergovernmental transfers: empirical evidence, political and economic effects, and the electoral rationale. Revista Do Serviço Público, 72(a), 41 - 66. Recuperado de https://revista.enap.gov.br/index.php/RSP/article/view/5722

Edição

Seção

Special on Public Choice: Essays in Honor of Jorge Vianna Monteiro (closed)